Document Type
Article
Publication Date
2023
Journal Title
International Social Science Journal
Volume Number
73
Issue Number
248
First Page
279
Last Page
323
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/issj.12396
Version
Publisher PDF: the final published version of the article, with professional formatting and typesetting
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a CC BY-NC-ND License.
Disciplines
Peace and Conflict Studies
Abstract
We estimate the first econometric model of the national civilian firearms market in the United States (1946–2016), where per capita firearms-related harm is exceptionally high. Solving simultaneous equation models instrumented by natural disasters and steel prices, and employing unique firearms prices and quantities data, we find this market operates normally, except that firearms stocks may generate some new market demand in a positive feedback loop. Save for the Federal Assault Weapons Ban (1994–2004), federal firearms legislation does not influence firearms sales. We find that violent crime, including homicide and mass shootings, boosts domestic sales.
Digital USD Citation
McDougal, Topher L.; Montolio, Daniel; and Brauer, Jurgen, "Modeling the U.S. Firearms Market" (2023). School of Peace Studies: Faculty Scholarship. 19.
https://digital.sandiego.edu/krocschool-faculty/19